More On The Way

Julia Jacobo posted this over on ABC news Saturday.

PHOTO: This satellite image obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows (L-R) Category 1, Hurricane Katia; Category 5, Hurricane Irma and, Category 1, Hurricane Jose, Sept. 7, 2017.

The rest of the 2017 hurricane season will be ‘active’ with more storms to come, NOAA meteorologist says

Meteorologists predicted the 2017 hurricane season to be a busy one, and the activity may continue in the coming months, Dr. Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster for NOAA, told ABC News.

“We certainly expect more storms to come,” Bell said.

The official hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, but the most active months are August, September and October, Bell said.

“We are right in the heart of an active season right now,” he said.

And the Atlantic is 1-2 degrees warmer than average (fake news? you be the judge). As the old salts say, batten down the hatches – it looks like it might be rough one.

What with Hurricane Jose doing pirouettes in the Atlantic (Did they predict that?  I don’t think so.) we could be in for another couple months of wait and see, hope and pray, and all that jazz.

I’d suggest stocking up on rum – it’s kinda traditional for the Caribbean and points south.


93 thoughts on “More On The Way”

  1. so several dark ‘n stormies to come?  you know, that rum and ginger beer drink doesn’t sound such a bad way to endure the slings and arrows of mother nature.  now if the ‘canes veer from the caribbean and go north we can switch out the rum for vodka/cognac and call it a moscow mule, throw in an ugly orange slice and ponder the putintwit’s impeachment.

  2. according to Orlando sentinel this was what was happening to hdqtrs south as of last night:

    Hurricane Irma leaves trail of downed trees, high water, power outages in Florida


    Hurricane Irma battered the Florida Keys and South Florida, swiped the Tampa area and unexpectedly targeted Orlando at the last moment late Sunday, bringing hours of rain and strong winds that left about 6.5 million homes and businesses without power and 200,000 people in shelters.

    At least two people were killed during the storm in Orange County. About 900,000 homes and businesses were still without power Monday night in five Central Florida counties, and residents came outside after hours indoors to find downed trees blocking streets and damaging homes and cars.

    And about 4 a.m. Monday, a lake in west Orange County’s Orlo Vista neighborhood overflowed leading to flooding. Orange County firefighters and members of the National Guard pulled more than 200 people from 500 homes and took them to local shelters.

    […continues ….]

  3. Don’t know whether it has a real name, but I’m fond of Gosling’s dark with a healthy splash of Rose’s lime and just a splash of club soda – over ice.It just feels right to brace oneself against a looming storm.  If the power is gone and there’s no ice, ignore the ice.

  4. SFB is now running campaign ads- you know, ads with the tag line ” I’m Donald Trump and I approve this message.”  None of this mamby pamby third party shit any more.

  5. Pogo – a few of those test campaign ads have been running in DC.  Now they have settled on the let SFB be SFB message, along with a bunch of lies.  Translate: Lies = fake news, falsehoods, propaganda, disinformation.  It is very nasty to run the crap during breakfast times.

  6. “It is very nasty to run the crap during breakfast times.”

    bbronc, does help tho’ in promoting regularity…. virtual prune juice.

  7. pbs: Chris Christie on Steve Bannon: “This, I suspect, is his last 15 minutes of fame.”

    Gov. Chris Christie took a hard line against criticism from his former Trump campaign colleague, Steve Bannon, in an interview with Judy Woodruff on Monday. Bannon said in a Sunday interview on “60 Minutes” that Christie’s unwillingness to stand by then-candidate Trump after the revelations of the Access Hollywood tape damaged Christie’s position in the campaign, and that Bannon kept Christie’s name in a “little black book.”

    “I was offered Cabinet positions by this president,” Christie told Woodruff.

    “So I suspect this little black book that Mr. Bannon is talking about, the only one who read that black book was Mr. Bannon himself. I know that no one else cared about it. And now that he’s been fired, no one is going to really care about anything else Steve Bannon has to say.”

    Christie also criticized Bannon for airing their disagreement in public.

    “On that weekend, I spoke the truth directly to the President of the United States,” Christie said. “And I didn’t need to go on the air or do it publicly or to self-aggrandize myself now, as, you know, Mr. Bannon is doing by giving a “60 Minutes” interview. This, I suspect, is his last 15 minutes of fame. And that’s fine. I hope he enjoys it.”

  8. more bannon bashing at business insider:

    George Clooney rips into Steve Bannon, calls him a ‘failed’ screenwriter

    While speaking to journalists at the Toronto International Film Festival Friday, George Clooney ripped into the White House’s former chief strategist Steve Bannon.

    Clooney, while promoting his latest film “Suburbicon” at the festival, said that he relishes upsetting Breitbart News, which Bannon is the executive chairman of.

    “I like picking fights. I like that Breitbart News wants to have my head. I’d be ashamed 10 years from now if those weaselly little putzes, whose voices are getting a lot higher every week as this presidency starts to look worse and worse weren’t still [after me],” Clooney said.

    Clooney then continued to call Bannon out for his screenwriting abilities, or lack thereof:

    “Steve Bannon is a failed f—ing screenwriter, and if you’ve ever read [his] screenplay, it’s unbelievable. Now, if he’d somehow managed miraculously to get that thing produced, he’d still be in Hollywood, still making movies and licking my a– to get me to do one of his stupid a– screenplays.”

    The actor and director has always been one of Bannon’s harshest critics, and quick to point out his failed career in Hollywood.

    Bannon is known for earning money off of the Seinfeld syndication deal (although the jury is still out on whether or not he really made money from the deal), and for his brief and stint in Hollywood, which resulted in little more than an un-produced hip-hop Shakespeare screenplay “Coriolanus.”

  9. So a storm core that started in Africa gets to 20 miles from our house. As Dad said yesterday after we inspected the damage, our property looks like 50 trees just exploded. Luckily we are far enough inland that’s all that happened. Our generator is kaput. Like I said before the storm no matter how much planning, Something always goes wrong.

  10. craig, from a wiki how to

    how to make cowboy coffee (with pictures in 13 steps  — 2 methods, in sauce pan and on campfire)
    excerpt for 1st method using saucepan: Measure water. To do this, use the cup or mug you want to drink from.
    Put the water into a saucepan. Bring to a boil.
    Add one heaped scoop of coffee per cup into hot water.
    Stir with a fork. Remove the pan from the heat source and wait a couple of minutes for the grounds to settle.

    and from campingwithgus

    How-to Make Cowboy Coffee – the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Camping Tips

  11. Why drink coffee? Break out the rum ?

    Better yet, after all gets better, conjure up a Rum Cake & celebrate you, Dad & Toby. So happy everyone is OK.

    *I like Black Rum. Myers, Gosling.


  12. Craig

    8 ways to brew coffee when you are camping:

    First suggestion: The cowboy way If you are already roughing it, why not brew coffee the way the cowboys used to do it when they were sleeping under the stars. The method is quite simple. All you need is a simple pot. Fill the pot with water, dump your coffee grounds into the pot and put it on the fire. Once it is hot remove it from the fire and allow it cool. The coffee grounds will settle to the bottom and you can pour a surprisingly good cup of coffee.

  13. Also before it comes to a boil add a few eggshells……
    And after coffee added, one teaspoon of cold water splashed onto the surface will settle the grounds

  14. The #45 ads have been running here for over a week. Makes sense, as Western New York/Northern Pennsylvania = his territory. May be going to my hometown area in Allegany County, NY soon. Interesting to gauge the mood.


    Dear Bink ….. wherefore art thou? You are missed.

  15. Breakfast on the grill with hickory chip smoke box. This so easy and good might even do it when the power is back.

  16. Median household income was $59039 in 2016 – record high. Who was president? SFB? No?  Hmmm. Better reverse all those Obama economic policies quickly. Wouldn’t want that to continue.

  17. I had a snifter of brandy after supper last night–it was perfect. Here, we had 4.09″ of rain and enough wind to make the yard look like a tossed salad of mixed green leaves. The barometer has worked its way up to 29.74″–the lowest I saw it 29.57″. We were fortunate.

  18. Pogo, as an Eleanor Roosevelt Democrat, I would like to see the mean income of those above and below the median.

  19. g sargent in wapo makes a good point that we need to keep talking about Russian interference and the gop reluctance to face up to it. here’s an excerpt from his

    Hillary Clinton’s new book blasts Republicans and Russia. She’s 100 percent right.


    ….Her book reportedly has an extensive discussion of Russian interference in the election, and, crucially, it points a finger at congressional Republicans for failing to show a united front against it. As Jonathan Allen summarizes:

    Mitch McConnell, the Senate majority leader, gets hit for “playing defense” for Trump on Russia. “I can’t think of a more shameful example of a national leader so blatantly putting partisanship over national security,” Clinton writes of the Kentucky Republican. “McConnell knew better, but he did it anyway.” …

    [There] is a 50-page, point-by-point chronology of Russia’s involvement in the election and the Trump operation’s efforts to capitalize on it. That chapter — called “Trolls, Bots, Fake News and Real Russians” — puts it all in one place for the first time.


    ….Clinton is right to raise questions about the conduct of Republican lawmakers — McConnell in particular — when confronted in 2016 with the intelligence community’s conclusion and warning that Russia was trying to tip the election. The Post has reported that during the campaign, Obama administration officials privately presented evidence — which had been amassed by our intelligence services — of Russian interference, and asked lawmakers to present a united bipartisan front against it. And then:

    The Democratic leaders in the room unanimously agreed on the need to take the threat seriously. Republicans, however, were divided, with at least two GOP lawmakers reluctant to accede to the White House requests. According to several officials, McConnell raised doubts about the underlying intelligence and made clear to the administration that he would consider any effort by the White House to challenge the Russians publicly an act of partisan politics.

    There is more to this story, and as Brian Beutler has argued in a post that puts together much of what is known about it, this matters not just for the blame game, but also for purposes of accountability. In this sense alone, Clinton is right to raise the issue: Even if Russian interference didn’t make the difference, we really do need to know more about the Republican refusal to join in a bipartisan effort to stop Russia from sabotaging our election and democracy. But she is also right to do so for another reason: Any failure of accountability could have consequences for the future.
    The larger context is this: President Trump continues to refuse to acknowledge that Russian sabotage of the election even happened at all. Yet our intelligence services have warned that Russia will hit our democracy in the future. It’s unclear how seriously the administration is taking the threat of more sabotage; some elections experts have warned that a lot more needs to be done, and state officials report getting too little security guidance from the administration. As the 2018 elections get closer, discussion of this topic will escalate. The difference between now and 2016 is that there are now major investigations underway into possible Trump campaign collusion with the last round of sabotage, and it is now public that the intel services say Russia will strike again. One would hope media scrutiny will make it harder for congressional Republicans to dodge their responsibility to take this subject more seriously this time, and to prod Trump to do the same.

  20. Das alt alt right had different ideas about science, climate, and weather. In the ’50s and ’60s the wrongwing nutters believed in science, particularly russhin science. They believed that humans could change the weather and climate, and that the russkies were working on machines that could do the very thing modern alt nutters deny.

  21. Sturg, Dad’s revision of teaspoon cold water in boiled coffee: “Just spit in it”

    Says that’s what they did out camping and fishing. Also they boiled eggs and used that water for the coffee.

    Our pre-made runs out tomorrow, eager to try this.

  22. Ax him if he ever baked a tater on the manifold……

    not sure of my anatomy , but I think de hunker-bone connected to de hip-bone…..

  23. That spittin’ in it might be ok for me and you and your dad, but there’s just some folks you’d rather they not be spittin’ in yer coffee….

  24. “de hunker-bone connected to de hip-bone…..”

    sturge, that’s why I question the hunkering down of butterflies…. do they even have hips to say nothing about their lack of bones?

  25. Butterfly say, “Bones? I don’ have to show you any stinking bones….. I wanna hunker—I’ll hunker.”

  26. yep Flatus we got the direct hit they were supposed to. It’s ok, would have done far more damage there. None of my St.Pete friends lost power, or had structural damage.

  27. Climate change! The times they are a-changin’…

    I went to wikipedia this AM and on  the opening page were the important headlines of the day…

    “In the news

    Hurricane Irma (satellite image pictured) kills at least 46 people across the Caribbean islands and the United States.

    A magnitude 8.1 earthquake strikes Guatemala and Mexico, killing more than 90 people.

    Monsoon flooding kills nearly 1,300 people and affects 45 million others in India, Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh.

    North Korea conducts its sixth nuclear test.

    The European X-ray free-electron laser is inaugurated in Hamburg, Germany.”

    disaster, disaster, disaster, disaster, invention. One of these things is not like the others, but this is a sign of the times!

    Also in the news is Pope Francis taking Trump down a peg or two

    This says it all:

    “Pope Francis said the recent spate of hurricanes should prompt people to understand that humanity will “go down” if it does not address climate change and history will judge those who deny the science on its causes.”

    Jose is playing loop-di-loop and hasn’t made up his mind where he wants to go. Some predictions have him visiting the Northeastern US.

  28. Sturgeone

    Just place a strainer over a jar with a coffee filter in it.  Fill with ground coffee and pour water.  If you favor whole beans this process may take a while. Chew and spit. Chew and spit.

  29. geeeez…  I spit at my screen over that spittin’ in coffee stuff.

    It looks like the repugs are eating their own again.  Cruz eating Christie…  Christie sprinkling salt back on Cruz.   And Bannon eating everyone and everything in sight!  Popcorn time!

    ps…. note to self… do not book a trip to Florida, the Gulf, or the Caribbean anytime soon.

  30. Also on the Wiki home page is an article about Steve Biko. He was killed 40 yrs ago today. One of my favorite movies about Apartheid is Cry Freedom. Great story, great performances. There is a very good documentary about his on YouTube that I recommend also.


    There was a good CNN article about his legacy…or lack there of…today. I remember hearing or seeing Mandela say this interesting bit:

    …In fact, as Nelson Mandela put it, the apartheid state was so fearful of Biko’s influence that “they had to kill him to prolong the life of apartheid”.

    I don’t think Donald Woods got the attention he deserved for bringing the issues of Apartheid to the world either. RIP Steve Biko

  31. Or put the beans in a handkerchief and whack em repeatedly with a ball-peen hammer……

    El Martillo

  32. patd, BB, hmmm, maybe THAT explains it.  I did see a little of Death and his interview with Charlie this morning.

  33. Flatus – Mean income will be higher – for 2014 it was $72,641 where the median income that year was $51,939.  Mean income is overly influenced by outlying data points – and the more extreme they are the more they skew the results.  I’d guess that the difference now is more than it was in 2014 due to increased income inequality between the lowest and the highest earners.

    Upon re-reading your inquiry, if we know the number of households in the median income calculation and the income distribution within income ranges, we could get a decent approximation of the above and below the median income averages. Really need to see the data.

  34. Watching the videos of the destruction of the Keys coupled with the raves on the survivability of the concrete buildings made me think about the continuing survival of Hadrian’s wall in Scotland. It is made of concrete, rather the Roman version of concrete which we are now getting around to using. I find the high-lighted read on that concrete fascinating.

  35. It’s how they made the roof on the pantheon, I think, also

    porch to the rotunda, which is under a coffered concrete dome, with a central opening (oculus) to the sky. Almost two thousand years after it was built, the Pantheon’s dome is still the world’s largest unreinforced concrete dome.[3] The height to the oculus and the diameter of the interior circle are the same, 142 feet (43 m).[4]

  36. The moral of the story is, you can trust leaving your unprotected stuff around among the Scots.

    In Italy, buy insurance.

  37. another option (and my favorite) uses a melita cone (comes cup size or carafe size), put in filter and coffee grounds, pour hot – boiling water into cone and wait for delicious coffee sans electricity.

  38. Craig’s Post-Disaster Mega Coffee Recipe

    1. Assemble a score of used, but relatively clean, Dinty Moore stew cans – lids turned back like flaps.

    2. Drain and rinse your truck cooling system. Replace plug. Fill system with water. Start engine.

    3. Place relatively clean lawn mower in relatively clean bath tub. Add coffee beans. Start engine. Grind until fine. Stop and remove mower*.

    4. Put relatively clean sheet into bottom of top loader washing machine so that sides remain outside. Shovel in the coffee grounds using relatively clean shovel.

    5. Drain hot water from cooling system, and pour into washing machine. Let steep. Throw in about a dozen eggshells. After a storm, any bird’s eggshells will do.

    6. Remove sheet with coffee grounds and serve the brew in the old Dinty Moore cans.

    Serves 6 for several days

    *Always stop the mower before removing from the bathtub. Fingers in the coffee are a different recipe.

  39. nbc bay area: California Sues Trump Administration Over Plan to End DACA
    California sued the Trump administration Monday over its decision to end a program that shields young immigrants from deportation, saying it would be especially hard hit because it has more of the immigrants brought to the U.S. illegally by parents or by parents who overstayed visas than any other U.S. state.
    The lawsuit’s legal arguments largely mirror those already filed in a lawsuit last week by 15 other states and the District of Columbia. Attorney generals for the states of Maine, Maryland and Minnesota joined California’s lawsuit.
    California Attorney General Xavier Becerra said California’s case is stronger than the first lawsuit, filed last week, because more than 200,000 of the 800,000 participants in the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program live in the state.
    “I don’t think there’s any doubt that California has the most to lose,” he said, flanked by two program participants who were brought to the United States as 4-year-olds who now attend college in the Sacramento area.

    The lawsuit alleges the Trump Administration violated the Constitution and other laws when it rescinded the program.
    The lawsuit relied mainly on procedural arguments, saying federal law requires that such decisions be made for sound reasons and only after the public has a chance to make formal comments. It said the administration failed to follow a federal law requiring it to consider negative effects of the decision on small businesses.
    The lawsuit also said the Trump administration and immigration officials could use information provided by program participants to deport them and prosecute their employers. That would amount to misusing sensitive information provided in good faith by program participants, the lawsuit claimed.
    “We don’t bait and switch in this country,” Becerra said.

  40. We used to make cowboy coffee on the boats at outward bound.  Had big aluminum coffee pots – percolators like the one sturg posted, but campfire types with wire bails instead of bakelite handles –  but we always lost/ bent broke the innards on the first trip of the year.  The glass dome was lost shortly after.  We’d fill the pot with water, boil it, throw in about a cup of coffee (generally a wild guess on amount) would let it sit for 5 minutes or so, and then swing the thing in a vertical circle to settle the grounds – 4 or 5 circles did the trick.  Didn’t need no stinkin’ eggshells or cold water that way. Only know of a couple times the bail broke, and that boat would put in an emergency call to HQ for a replacement coffee pot to be delivered by the fast boat (Chip and Bob, the main fast boat drivers, loved to deliver coffee pots).

  41. Be sure and turn on the overhead exhaust fan in the bathroom while running the lawn mower/grinder—-carbon monoxide is a killer…..

    Safety first

  42. Granny

    Were we separated a birth?  Cry Freedom is one of my all time favorite films.  The closing scenes still get to me every time I watch it.

    Nkosi Sikelel’ iAfrika


  43. Jamie: Hey sis 😉 I cry every time I watch the movie! I think that list is shown at the end of the documentary, and it’s a beautiful song too. I don’t know if  you watched Invictus but I love the scene where Matt Damon’s character, the captain of the team, is trying to get his men to learn the song and they all throw it in the trash and the captain says something like “It says God bless Africa, do you really have a problem with that?”

  44. Good point sturg – of course if you can turn on the fan you might not need to grind the coffee in the bathtub unless you just like coffee with a touch of a zoysia aftertaste made in relatively clean large batches.

  45. Sturgeone  – we must have had a good upbringing.  I have two percolators onboard my boat.  A large for those days after a celebration, and a regular ten cup for normal days.  Every now and then I like to use one in the house, just to enjoy a good solid cup of coffee; I am looking for filters for mine.

    Coffee is one of those American things which I do enjoy.  I have been drinking black, deep black, coffee for over fifty years. I drink it by the gallon.  I also was infected with Hepatitis C and Hepatitis B.  Going in to my liver biopsy the money was on alcoholic ceriosus.  Nah.  Although my liver was really bad, it was from the HepC and HepB.  Most research is pointing to coffee drinkers having protection for their livers.

    But, I like coffee.  The caffeine does not bother me, unless I add some No-Doze.  One of the great pleasures for human kind is to brew up a pot of coffee, sit on deck and watch the sunrise through the steam of your mug of joe.

  46. One of the great pleasures for human kind is to brew up a pot of coffee, sit on deck and watch the sunrise through the steam of your mug of joe.

    Yup…..I’ll second that

    pog…..hmmm…you may have to rig up a pulley and belt system off the motor to power the fan…..

    Assuming, of course, that you didn’t skimp on your mower and get one without a PTO.

    But you can still overcome that obstacle by removing the hand crank and its housing to utilize the top of the motor.

    This stuff gets dang near technical……

  47. Hey all

    All good here. Power was out for 12 hours.. I got all the shutters down and pool area put back together.. A palm snapped in the back narrowly missing the pool enclosure, whew.. It happened a few years ago, ouch, $1000. I rather spend that on electronics.? No work today as no power..

    New Smyrna Beach says 100% restored tomorrow. Went to many of my condo’s today to throw out food from refrigerators..

    Thanks for the shout outs BW, KGC, Renee, Jace… Good to see all you fine people doing well…????

    Your’e doing a fine job! ?

  48. I do a 50/50 mix of my grind. Half of the darkest French in the store and half Espresso. I’ll mix the grounds together in my kitchenaid so that I get consistent cups in my refillable keurigs. It’s pretty close to good mess hall 24-hour brew.

  49. One day while I was at the coast guard air station in the AT shack an old chief pointed at me and says, “It’s your day to make coffee”. Big urn thing. Now, I had never in my life up to that time made a pot of coffee, ( coffee was something you order or your mom made), but I didn’t want to look like a dummy so I went to the urn and tried to figure it out real quick……I filled it up with water, and since the old grounds looked just fine I put the basket back in with the old grounds and plugged it in…….the coffee smell was just right…… but then some guys started getting a cup of coffee.
    Much spitting and patooie sounds and they all dead-eyed right at me… I had to fess up and take the rap.

    But… was worth it seeing the look on those guys’ faces as they checked out their morning brew…….

  50. I like tea. Plain & strong. No doo-dads or flavorings.

    Question for our southern friends: What’s the thing with sweet tea? First had it on a trip down south years ago. Asked for plain tea & they looked at me like I was crazy.

    Should I touch another nerve & debate cornbread? 😉


  51. Old chief looks at me and says, “and you, a college graduate!”

    i says, “Well, no, I’ve not actually been to college, Chief”.

    That took him back a bit with his insult, but he recovered quickly and spits out, “Obviously! ”

    Still, it was flattering being mistaken for a college grad draft-dodger instead of just a high school one.

  52. Sturgeone

    You do cornbread and I’ll do buttermilk

    My aunts and mother loved cornbread crumbled into buttermilk until it was edible with a spoon.

    There are some gustatory objects that leave a disgusting film on the glass that should involve holding the glass at arm length while carrying it to the nearest round file.

    Don’t get me started on kippers.


  53. It must be a Southeastern thing.  Never had anyone at a house or restaurant offer me sweet tea in TX.

    They do, however, ask about refills in an odd way; past tense, negative.   Did you  not  want some more tea?

  54. You can make coffee just like you make sum tea.  Cold water, coffee grounds, sunshine & a big jar.  Strain when done.

  55. The old guys thought all the young guys were draft dodgers. Not without reason, of course.
    It was 68-69 after all…….

  56. Blonde Wino’s sure fire after disaster coffee —

    Grab coffee mug, toss a few coffee beans into the mug.   Open wine bottle, preferably red.   Pour in cup and wait ten seconds.   Sip the brew and enjoy.

    To add to choppy communications from all of the outages, solar flares to arrive tomorrow.

  57. Y’all order tea in the old South it comes infused with sugar and served in a tall glass over ice. Deviations are ordered by deviants. I simply order ice water with a twist. They’re happy–I’m happy.

  58. After spending my formative adult years carefully avoiding joining a coffee klatsch the senior citizen me seems to now be part of one. Who knew! LOL! 😉

  59. Ranking the Barrymores: Love Ethel; admire Lionel; not a fan of John.

    Every time I catch an Ethel flick on TCM reminded of just how good an actress she was.

    That’s all there is; there isn’t any more.


  60. I grew fond of sweet tea on my many trips south, but in northern Ohio, never have it, only hot Earl Grey with whole milk.  I also ate Moon Pies & Co-Cola.  I’d catch shrimp in a seine net and fight bad snakes as I found petrified sharks’ teeth in Goose Creek.  I love cornbread and corn pone, too.

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