Author: craigcrawford

Trail Mix Host. Lapsed journalist, author & retired pundit happily promoting nothing but the truth for Social Security checks.

Are you better off than four years ago?

Any undecideds in your life about the election on Tuesday? Polls and pros are saying the only thing keeping a lot of voters on the fence is they think things were just swell under Donald Trump’s presidency.

Here’s an elevator pitch to wake them up, courtesy of Reuters:

In 2020 under Donald Trump’s presidency we had:

350,000 COVID dead

A plunging GDP

A shrinking economy

Unprecedented federal deficits

Lower average incomes

Higher unemployment

Higher inflation (6.2% — it’s now 2.4%)

— Reuters: “Trump wants to compare now to four years ago. Here’s what it looks like“

When Do We Invade Poland?

Tough to top the Drudge Report’s banner headlines on Trump’s Hate Festival last night at Madison Square Garden.

UVA’s Larry Sabato: “I love historical documentaries. I’m currently watching one about the 1939 pro-Nazi rally at Madison Square Garden. Oh wait, it’s a live Trump rally! My bad.”

Tim Walz compares Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally to 1939 pro-Nazi event. “Don’t think for one second that he doesn’t know exactly what they’re doing there”– The Hill

Geraldo Rivera: “Fuck these racists. Latino men of good will, have pride in yourselves and your ancestors. A vote for Trump is a vote against self-respect.”

Finally, Real Votes Instead Of Polls

As actual votes come in we can dial back on sifting through polls.

And the Democratic ground game in the Blue Wall is showing results.

PA: Almost 800,000 early votes have been cast in Pennsylvania and Democrats are destroying Republicans.

MI: Over 1 million early votes in Michigan and Democrats are destroying Republicans.

WI: Just over 300,000 votes cast so far in Wisconsin and Republicans come in third:
Democrats 40%
Unaffiliated 41%
Republicans 19%

EARLY VOTE IN ALL 7 BATTLEGROUND STATES
Total Cast: 4,755,160
Democrats: 2,410,117 (50.7%)
Republicans: 1,950,572 (41.0%)
Unaffiliated: 394,471 (8.3%)

— Source: TargetEarly Dashboard by TargetSmart

In Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina the two parties are roughly even, while Republicans are running about 10 points ahead.

For now I’m resisting a hard look at comparisons to the similar time frame for early voting four years ago because in 2020 the COVID pandemic made voter behavior so unique it might not be useful information.