Finally, Real Votes Instead Of Polls

As actual votes come in we can dial back on sifting through polls.

And the Democratic ground game in the Blue Wall is showing results.

PA: Almost 800,000 early votes have been cast in Pennsylvania and Democrats are destroying Republicans.

MI: Over 1 million early votes in Michigan and Democrats are destroying Republicans.

WI: Just over 300,000 votes cast so far in Wisconsin and Republicans come in third:
Democrats 40%
Unaffiliated 41%
Republicans 19%

EARLY VOTE IN ALL 7 BATTLEGROUND STATES
Total Cast: 4,755,160
Democrats: 2,410,117 (50.7%)
Republicans: 1,950,572 (41.0%)
Unaffiliated: 394,471 (8.3%)

— Source: TargetEarly Dashboard by TargetSmart

In Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina the two parties are roughly even, while Republicans are running about 10 points ahead.

For now I’m resisting a hard look at comparisons to the similar time frame for early voting four years ago because in 2020 the COVID pandemic made voter behavior so unique it might not be useful information.

Into The Lion’s Den of Misinformation

Kamala Harris takes no crap from FOX Host Bret Baier’s rude and deceptive interview, at one point calling him out for showing a clip that did not represent the topic at hand. “Bret, I’m sorry, and with all due respect, that clip was not what he has been saying about the ‘enemy within’ that he has repeated when he is speaking about the American people. That’s not what you just showed.”

Full interview (27 minutes):

Seems like the consensus news hook was her declaring independence from Biden, even FOX headlined it that way, a good outcome for her — and she did it without a hint of criticism for the President:

Axios: Harris: “My presidency will not be a continuation of Joe Biden’s”

FOX News: Kamala Harris defiantly asserts her presidency ‘will not’ be an extension of Biden’s

AP: Kamala Harris pledges break from Biden presidency in testy Fox News interview

Washington Post: Harris clashes with host, distances Biden in contentious interview on Fox

TRUMP DUCKS AND WEAVES IN LATINO DEBATE

Meanwhile Donald Trump had a rough time with skeptical Latino voters at the Univision Town Hall last night. My notes:
— Oops he got a question why he killed the border bill. He didn’t get close to answering, never mentioned the bill she asked about in a rambling answer that focused on crime in Chicago “Everything the Democrats run is bad”.
— These are all rough questions. Next, “Could you explain your pro-gun policy to the parents of children killed in schools”. Again, no answer, instead he starts reciting the same Chicago murder stats he brought up before, and again blames the Democrats.

Now a questioner says he’s a Republican unhappy with Jan 6, handling of COVID and how “so many in your administration, like your own Vice President, don’t support you”. Trump riffs about how Jan. 6 was a “day of love” and a bunch more crap. The guy obviously wasn’t convinced.

— A woman asks if he agrees with Melania’s pro-choice views on abortion. No answer, but he does plug her book: “It’s very good. I hope you all go out and buy it”.
— These people are not buying his bullshit. No nodding of heads in agreement as Kamala got last week in her Univision Town Hall.

New York Times got these headlines just right.

“Unstable and Unhinged” Is The New Weird

Kamala Harris launched her own catch phrase in Erie PA last night to compete with her running mate’s “They’re just weird”.

After playing a video montage of Trump saying he would deploy the military on Americans who don’t support him, she said, “A second Trump term is a huge risk for America. He is increasingly unstable and unhinged. And he is out for unchecked power and control over your lives” — Watch the video

This Isn’t An Election. It’s A Power Grab!

Project Lincoln advisor Trygve Olson is Making Sense:


For Trump, elections aren’t about determining who holds power. He is playing a zero-sum game. For Trump and his enablers, elections are merely a tool in their attempt to capture power.

This is evident in how the campaign is unfolding and in their Autocratic Intention Signaling.

It will only intensify in the days, weeks, and months to come — regardless of the outcome on Election Day. We are no longer engaged in the win-win game of elections and democracy as we know it; we are in an existential zero-sum struggle to defend the democracy our founders bestowed upon us.

The sooner this is understood by the media, the Harris Campaign, and all those standing up against what Trump is doing, the more likely democracy is to prevail — and right now, it is teetering on the precipice.

Trygve Olson: Democracy Expert trained 1000’s worldwide to fight for it. Sr Advisor @projectlincoln & @LDIDemocracy. Weekly on @allbaughshow. WI boy, Girl Dad, Packer Fan

Trump to FOX Host Maria Bartiromo on what worries him about election day: “I think the bigger problem is the enemy from within … sick people, radical left lunatics. And it should be easily handled by, if necessary, by National Guard, or if really necessary, by the military.”

Only One President On TV Last Night

I watched them both. Donald Trump rambling on about himself on right-wing channels. And Kamala Harris stepping up to tough questions on 60 Minutes. (An interview he dodged, which CBS duly noted.)

I’ll save you some time. The only one worth watching:

Milton Watch: A Chilling Warning
Tampa Mayor Jane Castor: “I can say this without any dramatization whatsoever: If you choose to stay in one of those evacuation areas, you are going to die.”