GETTING IN LINE

Attribution: Early Voting COLOR by Jeff Parker, Florida Today

Jeff Parker is the editorial cartoonist for Florida Today, and draws the popular comic strip Dustin.

TRUMP RALLIES: WHERE’S THE VOTER SURGE?
Trump is traveling the country giving campaign speeches, hoping to fire up MAGA voters as he has in the past. But are those rallies actually getting people to vote?
Read Our Answer Here

88 thoughts on “GETTING IN LINE”

  1. from UF Election Lab 2026 Early Voting
    [These statistics are disseminated under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. If you use these statistics you MUST provide reasonable attribution and cannot use these data for commercial purposes — such as placing it behind a paywall — without permission.]
    National Statistics
    Total early votes 6,543,410
    In-person early votes 1,502,227
    Mail ballots returned 5,041,183
    Mail ballots requested 57,616,880
    Last updated: Oct 15, 2026 @ 10:06pm Eastern Time
    […]
    Total Voted by Party Registration
    Party Total
    Voted Percent
    Democrat 1,685,269 50.5 %
    Republican 963,988 28.9 %
    None/Minor 685,130 20.5 %
    TOTAL 3,334,387 100 %
    Note: Party registration statistics are for states that have party registration. These statistics are not actual votes. By federal law, election officials do not begin counting ballots until Election Day, although they may start the process of preparing ballots for counting in advance.

  2. from The Hill via MSN Georgia shatters its day 1 early voting record for a midterm
    Georgia set a midterm election record on its first day of early voting Tuesday, with more than 188,000 ballots cast. That is about 50,000 more than the number who voted early on Day 1 in 2022, according to the Georgia secretary of state’s office.
    Driving the high turnout is Black voters, who made up more than 36 percent of Day 1 early votes cast, according to nonpartisan election data site VoteHub. That is more than 6 percent higher than in 2024, VoteHub said.
    Georgia is home to some of the 2026 midterm elections’ most closely watched races, including contests for the U.S. Senate and governor.
    In the U.S. Senate race, Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff is fighting to win reelection against GOP challenger Rep. Mike Collins (Ga.) in a state that President Trump won by about 2 points. Republicans had hoped to make the Georgia Senate race competitive given the state’s battleground status, but Ossoff has led in every preelection poll.
    Nonpartisan election data site Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), a partner of The Hill, gives Ossoff an 88 percent chance at winning reelection, and he leads by an average of 8.8 points in DDHQ’s polling average.
    Ossoff and Collins faced off in their last scheduled debate Tuesday night, hosted by the Atlanta Press Club.
    But a much more competitive contest is the Georgia governor’s race. Former Democratic Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms is facing off against healthcare executive Rick Jackson to fill the open seat created by GOP Gov. Brian Kemp’s retirement.
    Jackson, who is a billionaire, has far outspent Bottoms in no small part by self-funding his campaign. DDHQ’s forecast gives Bottoms a 57 percent chance of flipping the governor’s mansion, though Jackson leads by 2 points in the polling average.
    Georgia home to election integrity questions
    The Peach State is no stranger to competitive elections, but it has also been the epicenter of questions of election integrity on both sides.
    After the 2020 presidential election, Trump placed a phone call to Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger and asked him to find more than 11,000 votes, the amount needed to overturn former President Biden’s win. Raffensperger refused.
    And in the 2018 gubernatorial election, Democratic candidate Stacey Abrams accused Kemp, her Republican opponent, of using his position as secretary of state to suppress voters. A court ruled against Abrams in 2022.
    Raffensperger affirmed the strength of Georgia’s election system Wednesday.
    “This record-breaking turnout proves that voters have confidence in the integrity of our elections,” Raffensperger said in a statement.
    The latest turnout information can be found on the Georgia secretary of state’s election data website.

  3. from The Carolina Journal 27k ballots cast in 1st hours as NC early voting begins
    n-person early voting for North Carolina’s 2026 midterm election opened Thursday across all 100 counties, with State Board of Elections Executive Director Sam Hayes reporting that 27,077 voters had already cast ballots statewide by 10am.
    A total of 370 early voting sites opened statewide, which by the end of the period will add up to a total of 56,453 hours of early voting across all 100 counties. Early voting continues through 3pm Saturday, Oct. 31. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3.
    “Here we are finally opening day early voting in North Carolina,” Hayes said at a Thursday morning press conference. “Pleased to report that our county boards of elections are prepared to welcome voters across all 100 counties today.”
    Hayes noted that early voting has become the dominant method for most North Carolinians. In the 2024 general election, 74% of voters cast ballots during the early voting period, compared with 53% in the 2022 general election. Officials expect significant participation again this year.
    During the early voting period, registered North Carolina voters may cast a ballot at any early voting site in their county. Voters can look up locations and hours using the Early Voting Site Search tool on the NCSBE website.
    Curbside voting is available for voters who are unable to enter the voting site without physical assistance due to age or disability. Able-bodied voters are expected to use the voting enclosure.
    Hayes directly addressed circulating social media claims that an election worker writing on a voter’s ballot will invalidate it. He called the claims false and said they have resurfaced in multiple North Carolina counties in recent days.
    “Election workers write on ballots for different reasons as required by law,” Hayes said. “This in no way affects whether your ballot will be counted.”
    Absentee by-mail voting is already underway. County boards began sending ballots on Sept. 4. The deadline to request an absentee ballot is 5pm. Tuesday, Oct. 20. Completed ballots must be received by the voter’s county board of elections no later than 7:30pm on Election Day, Nov. 3. There is no longer a grace period.
    Voters may return completed absentee ballots in person to their county board of elections or to an election official at an early voting site during the early voting period. Those who requested an absentee ballot but have not returned it may still choose to vote in person instead. Voters can track the status of their absentee ballot through the BallotTrax system.
    Hayes credited county election directors, staff, and thousands of poll workers for months of preparation, including training, equipment testing, and securing locations.
    He stressed that election security and voter access are “two sides of the same coin.” The state board will investigate allegations of misconduct and refer matters for prosecution when warranted, while ensuring eligible voters can cast ballots and that every ballot is handled and counted according to law.
    Hayes closed by urging eligible North Carolinians to plan their vote, become familiar with the rules and deadlines, and rely on official information at ncsbe.gov.
    “We are committed to conducting an election that is secure, accurate, transparent, and accessible to every eligible voter,” he said.

  4. from Spectrum News Early voting surges ahead of midterms, with records falling in many states
    BY Evan Koslof Nationwide

    PUBLISHED 4:47 PM ET Oct. 14, 2026
    More than 4 million Americans have already cast their ballots, breaking early voting records in many states with just 20 days to go before the elections.
    The surge, which is far outpacing early balloting in previous midterms, comes as Republicans scramble to save control of the House and Senate.
    In Ohio, a key battleground, lines of voters formed in Columbus on Wednesday. The state’s secretary of state said early voting has nearly quadrupled from four years ago.
    Voters in the blue-leaning county shared why they came out early in a state with competitive races for governor and U.S. Senate.
    “I’ve got to be honest: I’m p****d off with what’s going on,” said Rhonda Luetje, a Columbus resident.
    “We don’t want to see our kids going out to fight wars,” said Salieu Mansaray, a Columbus resident.
    “The cost of living is super important,” said Mick Lanning, another Columbus resident.
    “I do trucking. So the diesel is $8, up,” said Noor Dubow, a Columbus resident.
    Turnout is also up in Georgia, where more than 188,000 people showed up on the first day of early voting Tuesday, a new record for a midterm in the state.
    On the debate stage Tuesday night, Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff of Georgia denied that his reelection bid is a test run for the presidency in two years.
    “I have zero interest in running for president,” Ossoff said.
    “He is running for president,” said Republican Rep. Mike Collins, Ossoff’s opponent.
    “The Epstein class is on the stage right now. And it’s you,” Collins said, arguing that Ossoff was a hyprocrite for accepting a campaign donation from Reid Hoffman, a tech billionaire who admitted to having once visited the private island of the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
    “You voted to cover up the evidence, Mike,” Ossoff responded.
    To bolster Republican chances, President Donald Trump has been hopscotching the country in a dizzying pre-election blitz. He was rallying Wednesday in Arizona and Montana, after stops in Youngstown, Ohio, on Monday and Wasilla, Alaska, on Tuesday.
    In Bullhead City, Arizona, he urged voters to pretend he’s on the ballot. He will hold rallies in Georgia on Friday, Kentucky on Saturday, Kansas on Monday and North Carolina on Tuesday.
    “So we’re going to elect a strong Republican majority in the House and Senate, and I think we have a really good chance,” Trump said Wednesday in Arizona.
    Trump was also a main topic at a forum in New Hampshire for the state’s open Senate seat, which pits Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas against Republican John E. Sununu, who served as U.S. senator from 2003-09.
    “This is a gut check moment for democracy,” Pappas said.
    “Lots of people would like to make this about the president,” Sununu said. “The president’s going to be out of office in two years. This is about what’s next.”
    Starting next week, former Vice President Kamala Harris will hit the campaign trail. She is scheduled to rally in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Mississippi, Georgia and Nevada.


  5. Oct 15, 2026 #trump #midterms #voting
    There has been a record number of early votes cast this midterm election. Managing Editor of the Cook Political Report Carrie Dann, Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha and MS NOW Political Analyst Elise Jordan join Katy Tur to share their outlook for November.


  6. Oct 15, 2026 #Trump #Poll #News
    President Donald Trump’s approval rating has hit its lowest point in Fox News polling across his two terms in office just weeks before a critical midterm election gauges voter reaction to his party’s performance in control of Washington over the past two years, according to a new national poll.
    CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten unpacks the new numbers, observing that “more Americans who think that we faked the moon landing than the percentage of young voters who actually approve of the job that Trump is doing on inflation,” adding that “these numbers are some of the worst I have ever seen in any poll on any issue for any president.” CNN’s Alayna Treene reports on the new poll as well, and Semafor’s Shelby Talcott reacts.


  7. Oct 13, 2026
    Provided to YouTube by DistroKid
    It’s The Early Vote (feat. The Peace Poets) · Singing Resistance · Songs In The Key Of Resistance · The Peace Poets
    We Vote For Us: Songs For Election Defense (Volume III)

  8. Early voting in wv runs for a 10 day stretch beginning next Wednesday. My vote will be cast during that period.

  9. mainenewsroom.com

    Follow
    10/15 Senator Susan Collins’s spokesperson issued a stunning response after 250 Mainers, including a former chief deputy attorney general, asked state attorney general to investigate bribery allegations #maine #MEpolitics

  10. 1. Trump rallies to fire up MAGA.
    2. We looked at early vote where he is going, compared to his last midterm in 2018.
    3. Is all that campaigning moving votes or just making noise?

    FIRST CUP ☕ ->

  11. TRUMP RALLIES: WHERE’S THE VOTER SURGE?

    Trump is traveling the country giving campaign speeches, hoping to fire up MAGA voters ahead of the November 3 elections. But are those rallies actually getting people to vote?

    Our first test: Montgomery County, Tennessee, where Trump rallied October 10, four days before early voting began.

    Our preliminary comparison found:

    2026: 1,941 opening-day in-person votes.
    2018 (his last midterm election as president): 2,531 opening-day votes.
    Difference: 590 fewer votes, a 23.3% decline.

    The takeaway: We have not demonstrated a turnout boost from Trump’s appearance. But one county cannot establish whether his rallies are working nationwide. Other factors, including voting locations, hours and statewide trends, can affect the comparison.

    We’ll continue examining counties Trump visits, using equivalent early-voting periods in 2018, to see if there are any signs his presence makes the difference he has in the past.

    — Human directed and edited. AI drafted (ChatGPT).

  12. And in “Who coulda thunk it?” news… WaPo.

    Matt Gaetz accused of sex trafficking young women, lawsuit says
    Two women sued the former Florida congressman, former Seminole County tax collector Joel Micah Greenberg and former Florida state representative Chris Dorworth (R).

    By Sammy Westfall
    Two women are accusing former congressman Matt Gaetz (R-Florida) and two other men of involvement in a sex trafficking scheme involving recent high school graduates and drugs, according to a federal lawsuit filed Thursday.

    The plaintiffs, identified as Jane Does 1 and 2, allege that Gaetz and former Seminole County, Florida, tax collector Joel Micah Greenberg coordinated “recruitment, payments, drugs, and travel” to obtain “commercial sexual acts” from young women. The lawsuit also accuses former Florida state representative Chris Dorworth (R) of having “knowingly participated in these events” by making his home available for them.

    The alleged “sexual exploitation” took place from 2017 through January 2019, when Gaetz was a sitting member of Congress, according to the complaint, filed in the Middle District of Florida.

    Gaetz did not respond Thursday to a request for comment from The Washington Post. He told the Miami Herald, which first reported the lawsuit, that he looks forward to taking depositions from the plaintiffs “because much of the conduct alleged against me is false.”

    “The lawsuit relies almost exclusively on a Congressional Committee report that didn’t allow me to confront my accusers,” Gaetz said in a statement, according to the Herald. “Now I will finally have that chance.”

    An attorney who has previously represented Greenberg, as well as a dental office owned by Greenberg’s family, did not respond to messages seeking comment. A person who answered a phone number associated with Dorworth in public records declined to comment.

    A report released by the House Ethics Committee in December 2024 said that Gaetz regularly paid for sex from 2017 to 2020, including with a 17-year-old girl, and that he possessed illegal drugs. The Justice Department investigated Gaetz over allegations of wrongdoing but never charged him. That investigation began in 2020, during President Donald Trump’s first administration.

    Gaetz has repeatedly denied the charges but resigned from Congress shortly before the report was expected to be released. Gaetz had been an avid defender of Trump, who tapped him to serve as attorney general during his second administration. But amid intense opposition from Republicans, Gaetz withdrew in November 2024.

    The plaintiffs in the new lawsuit are 15 and 13 years younger than Gaetz, the filing said. Both were recent high school graduates when Greenberg found them through an online dating website, the complaint said.

    The lawsuit alleges that Greenberg recruited “economically vulnerable young women” on the website, SeekingArrangement.com, introduced them to Gaetz and “supplied the drugs he paid the women extra to take, including a minor.”

    Greenberg pleaded guilty in 2021 to sex trafficking of a minor and other charges. Although he admitted to paying for sex acts with a minor and said he “introduced” the minor to other adult men, he did not explicitly mention Gaetz in his plea deal. Greenberg was sentenced to 11 years in prison and agreed to cooperate with the investigation into Gaetz.

    The new lawsuit alleges that Gaetz sent about $6,200 electronically to Jane Doe 1 with the comments “Being my friend” and “1x flight + xtra 4 u,” and roughly $4,025 to Jane Doe 2 with the words “Car deductible” and “Love you.”
    …

    And I’m sure that the Doe lawyers can’t wait to depose the house members Gaetz showed the photos on his phone to.

  13. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/oct/15/us-officials-ad-campaign-south-africa-afrikaners-refugees

    The US government could spend hundreds of thousands of dollars on a media campaign in South Africa to figure out why more white Afrikaners are not applying to become refugees to the US, as Donald Trump had hoped.

    State department officials, according to an August proposal seen by the Guardian, outlined a roughly $335,000 research and advertising effort after applications to the refugee program “trended lower than expected” since Afrikaners were allowed to apply directly online in November 2025. The document, written by the US mission in South Africa with a department research unit for the embassy in Pretoria, admits officials know little about why.

    “There’s currently little research about why Afrikaners are not applying to request referral into the US Refugee Admissions Program,” the proposal reads.

  14. Trump’s Moral Squalor
    Affordability is important but we must also demand common decency from our president
    Robert Reich

    Friends,

    The Democrats’ focus on affordability seems to be a winning strategy (we’ll know for sure in a little over two weeks). But we mustn’t lose sight of the moral squalor at the core of the Trump regime.

    It’s that moral squalor — the utter disregard for the opinions, norms, and ideals of the nation or, for that matter, of humanity — that uniquely marks Trump and the reprobates he has attracted to Washington. It has also poisoned much of the Republican Party, including the billionaires and tech bros who finance it.

    To put this despicable era behind us, we’ll need to renounce and reverse this squalor.

    What are loosely described as Trump’s “conflicts of interest,” for example, extend way beyond enriching himself from his presidency. He has violated the basic norms of presidential decency.

    He just decided to host the Group of 20 annual summit of world leaders at his private golf club in Miami in December. When he sought to do this during his first term, it was viewed as a blatant violation of the emoluments clause of the Constitution. Now, after America’s moral sensibilities have been numbed by Trump’s appetite for foreign gifts — such as Qatar’s “donation” of a $400 million jumbo jet — it barely merits a mention.

    He sells advance notice of his market-altering announcements for $100,000 a month, thereby profiting by tipping off people who trade on the information before it becomes publicly available. He files a trademark application for “Trump TV” to control the name of a streaming service that the White House uses for official presidential communications, thereby pocketing the benefits from taxpayer funds used to create and run the channel.

    His family-backed crypto firm introduces a stablecoin just months before he signs legislation promoting it. His wife is paid tens of millions for a self-promotional film by Jeff Bezos’s Amazon, a federal contractor and major retailer subject to a myriad of regulations. His son has a Russian oligarch, close to Putin, pick up the tab for part of his wedding afterparty in the Bahamas.

    He arranges for the Justice Department to grant him and his family immunity for any back taxes and penalties they might owe.

    And so on. Trump has tossed away all constraints on making money off his presidency “because I got no credit in the first term” and “I found out that nobody cared.”

    Credit? Someone who is entrusted with the highest office in the land must receive “credit” for doing what’s right, in order to continue doing what’s right? Nobody cares? A president can embrace corruption if the public doesn’t mind?

    It’s not just the blatant self-dealing. His moral squalor extends to every aspect of governing.

    He lies incessantly — a gushing firehose of deception.

    His foreign policies make Henry Kissinger’s realpolitik seem principled by comparison. He orders the abduction of the president of another nation, installs a new president of his choosing, and announces he’s taking that nation’s oil — and doesn’t even account for what he does with the oil money.

    He attacks Iran without consulting America’s traditional allies or even Congress.

    Eager to reduce diesel prices (which are hurting Republicans in the midterms), he turns his back on Ukraine and sides with Putin, the aggressor in that conflict — making a deal to import Russian diesel fuel (a windfall for Putin who can now bomb Ukraine even harder) while demanding that Ukraine stop attacking Russian oil refineries. Trump then blames Ukraine president Zelenskyy for high oil prices rather than Trump’s own war with Iran, and says Ukraine should get a new president.

    If this isn’t moral squalor, I don’t know what is.

    The squalor also extends to usurping the authority of Congress to decide on tariffs, wars, and whether and how to spend taxpayer money.

    And extends to his cynical defiance of Supreme Court orders. When the high court invalidates Trump’s tariffs, he reimposes them under a different statute. When the court rules that he doesn’t have grounds to remove a member of the Fed board of governors, he concocts a means to do so anyway. When the court says he has to remove his name from the Kennedy Center, he closes the center and threatens to demolish it.

    It extends to his using the Justice Department and the FBI to prosecute people who have stood up to him, including courageous judges and prosecutors.

    It extends to his overt bigotry and racism — claiming Mexicans are “bringing drugs and crime”; calling Somali-Americans “garbage” and denouncing “what they’ve done to Minnesota, these people from Somalia”; and taunting Muslims (calling Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic Senate candidate from Michigan, “Mohammed”).

    It extends to giving a gigantic tax cut to America’s wealthiest people, financed by cutting nutrition assistance and health care to America’s most vulnerable people.

    The moral squalor has turned much of America into a police state — terrorizing large numbers of people residing here, including many here legally. Deploying ICE agents at schools, courthouses, and hospitals. Forcibly taking parents away from their children. Allowing masked gunmen without identification to grab suspected undocumented immigrants off our streets, from their cars, and out of their homes — giving them no opportunity to defend themselves in front of third parties before putting them into often overcrowded and unhealthy prisons or sending them to other countries where they’re imprisoned. Killing and murdering — even murdering Americans who are trying to monitor their activities — then refusing even to conduct official inquiries into the murders.

    When asked if there are limits to his authority, Trump replies: “Yeah, there is one thing. My own morality. My own mind. It’s the only thing that can stop me.”

    “My own” morality is no morality at all. Morality reflects collective judgments about right and wrong, shared values about what we owe one another as citizens of the same society. Morality refers to the ideals we seek to achieve together.

    Trump is not guided by any sense of right and wrong. He is guided only by what enriches him or gives him more power and glory — a nihilistic might-makes-right ethos in which the strong do whatever they want and the weak suffer what they must.

    To be sure, Trump’s moral squalor could not have permeated America — he could not have been elected a second time — had our shared norms and ideals not already been compromised.

    Vast inequalities of income and wealth, coupled with a growing sense that the social contract at the heart of the American system was coming undone and that those at the top have rigged the game, were already fueling anger and distrust. Trump ignited that fuel.

    But without shared ideals or common moral values, there is nothing pushing back against this despicable president and regime — no countervailing moral force against the ongoing squalor.

    Part of the project of ridding ourselves of Trump, therefore, must be to rekindle our understanding of the common good and appreciation of what we owe one another as members of the same society.

    Of course we must make life more affordable; Democrats are wise to emphasize this in the midterms. But we also must demand common decency from our president.

  15. If the democrats don’t charge him with treason, that’s exactly what he will end up doing to the democrats.

  16. One thing I have noticed while traveling around my one horse town this past week, is trump flags and posters disappearing from people’s yards. I guess the cost of gas and groceries has finally exasperated trump supporters around here.

  17. BTW, this morning Steven Rattner eviscerated Dumbass’ campaign lies about the economy, taking things point by point and noting that basically, if you invert to the negative each of his statements about inflation, prices, manufacturing or anything else about the economy, that will describe the state of the economy under his misadministration. Example: he claims spending on manufacturing construction is up greatly under his administration. It peaked in November ’24 at $250B and has declined to $171B in August ’26, or a $79B (31.6%) drop in annual manufacturing construction spending from its peak. In fairness, the drop was from $237.5B since Dumbass took office in January ’25, a decline of 28.4% under his watch. Once the economy rebounded following the Covid surge, manufacturing has remained about the same from November 2021 to May, 2026, (with a 4-5% dip between those dates) and is now 1/2% higher than in May.

    The one thing he does not touch on is the debt $40T or deficit $1.97T (5.8-6% GDP) deficit under Dumbass, which are at levels ass a percentage of GDP not seen since WWII. BTW the interest on the debt is $2.8B per day. Funny how that gets overlooked by Dumbass in his campaign stops.

  18. Renee, same here. There are a couple of signs and flags around these parts, but only a couple, And some wag with just a bit of disposable income to spend in Garrett County MD (RW enclave that went heavily for Dumbass – 76% Trump, 22% Harris) has a series of humorous anti-trump electronic billboard ads that make driving into and out of Walmart worthwhile.

  19. An interesting interview with Dade Phelan,
    “former Speaker of the Texas House. Phelan passed some of the most conservative bills in state history during his two-term speakership only to find himself labeled a RINO—Republican in Name Only—for helping to lead the impeachment effort against Paxton. ”
    From The Texas Monthly (link)
    He isa retiring Republican, still a power politician discussing the upcoming election. He is still Republican, but he is giving a candid view of the up coming election. Basically Republicans are running scared, especially in the suburbs.

    Here he is discussing the down ballot candidates and seriously discussing if the Texas house can flip Democrat.

    I would assume the House stays Republican, but I think there are more races in the margin of error than anyone wants to admit. I talk to too many House members who are very nervous, who have never been nervous before. People say eight Republican seats are at risk. I could see ten. I hear there’s more than that in the margin of error. That doesn’t mean they’re all going to lose. But these suburbs are nasty. Nasty. Houston, DFW, Bexar County [San Antonio]—you can’t spend enough money to keep up. And if Talarico wins this and gets the margin up to six or seven, it’s a bloodbath down [the] ballot. I don’t know how people survive.

  20. Today in the Diner…
    Trump Turnout Drops |Mortman on Losers

    Did Donald Trump just tank Tennessee early voting? Craig Crawford and Nelson dive into the data, plus C-SPAN’s Howard Mortman on concession speeches.

    We woke up crunching the numbers on Donald Trump and his latest campaign stops. Nelson and I looked closely at the early voting data coming out of a specific Tennessee county that Trump just visited. Instead of a massive MAGA surge, we actually found a 23 percent decline compared to his 2018 midterm numbers. It seems the constant doom-casting about an Iran war and high prices might be burning out the base rather than firing them up.

    We also track the ad spending frenzy, noting how a 122 million dollar ad blitz managed to bump Tallarico unfavorables in the polls without knocking him out of the lead. The blue wave might be holding, but overconfidence and shifting voting habits in places like Virginia keep us looking for warning signs.

    To lighten the mood, C-SPAN Communications Director Howard Mortman drops by the diner with a look at their new podcast about the ultimate political losers. We review some classic concession speeches, from Tim Ryan dropping bombs to the unforgettable facial expression of Elaine Norman when Ralph Norman lost his primary to Darleen Graham.

    Live Chat: https://trailmix.cc/chat
    Website: https://trailmix.cc
    Alerts: https://trailmix.cc/alerts

    00:00 Intro
    00:51 Trump Tennessee Early Vote Drops
    04:01 MAGA Virginia Early Turnout Trends
    06:33 Tallarico Survives 122M Ad Blitz
    07:22 Howard Mortman CSPAN Interview
    09:48 Tim Ryan CSPAN Concession Promo
    12:06 Darleen Graham Beats Ralph Norman
    — Human directed and edited. Machine drafted (Gemini Pro).

    #DonaldTrump #TennesseeVoting

    YouTube thumbnail

  21. I have seen exactly one (1) – as in uno – roadside campaign sign of any kind in my cross-county travels. It is for the re-election of our County Clerk. She has my vote.

  22. https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2026/10/16/order-to-limit-starshield-for-ukraine-came-from-inside-white-house-sources-say/

    Order to limit Starshield for Ukraine came from inside White House, sources say

    The officials said leaders at the Defense Department received a message that the SpaceX Starshield service for the Ukrainian military needed to be slowed.

    The officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, did not specify who in the White House made the decision or who was responsible for implementing the order.

  23. Another quote from that Texas Monthly article

    When I’ve seen polls that say 20 percent of Republican voters are seriously thinking about not voting for Paxton, that feels right. It may be high, but it feels right. I went to the football game [in late August] where TCU played North Carolina, in Dublin. I’m on the TCU side, of course, and a lot of Fort Worth people, they’re coming up to me because they recognize me, and they’re like, “I’m skipping the race, or I may actually vote for a Democrat the first time ever.” No one in 2018 said that about Ted, and he only won by 2.6 [percentage points]. When there are people actively coming up to you telling you that, you know it’s an issue. How do you overcome that?

  24. What country will trust Starlink or StarShield if someone else can use it against them. Elon’s company should be called StarSh/t.

  25. Nobody was running against the Republican County Commissioner, and I really wanted to write in my own name.

  26. BiD
    Anne Applebaum made the point that Musk was shooting himself in the foot. Nobody in Europe will be able to trust Starlink to deliver a reliable service.
    I suspect Musk will end up regretting his lack of political neutrality.

    Jack

  27. Katie Z is out. You can’t call yourself a lawyer when you flunked the test.

    “The ouster came as Ms. Zacharia was shadowed by questions about how she had presented her legal career and handled her first press briefing.” – NYT

  28. Well, she is fired already I don’t even have to mention her name you know who I’m talking about Trump just fired her about 10 minutes ago.
    OK, here’s her name Katie Zachariah.

  29. Dexter
    I would have went with “whatshername” as I wouldn’t have remembered it, she was there so short a time.
    Another bad liar come and gone.
    How many women with long hair, parted in the middle, Ivanka wannabees, who are also willing to lie with a straight face are there in the world anyway?
    Jack

  30. a very friendly canvasser asked me if i was a republican today and i bluntly replied “no” and he was immediately less friendly

    the interaction started with him smiling and ended with me smiling 😈

  31. From Adam Kinzinger:

    Russia Runs Fake Videos For GOP
    Bloomberg reviewed 130 fake videos that a Russian operation pushed onto X over the past month. We’re not gonna play the videos, but here’s some of the thumbnails:

    They’re using logos and graphics from reputable outlets to push AI-generated clips and bogus stories about Democrats. One fake ABC clip claims James Talarico used Texas money to pay Onlyfans models. Another with a CBS logo claims the IRS found 8 secret properties belonging to Jon Ossoff. In other videos, deepfake versions of celebrities like Robert De Niro and Julia Roberts accuse Democrats of the usual conspiracy theories involving sex cults and child predator rings.

    Researchers trace the content to a Kremlin operation that’s been running since 2023. But this cycle the Russians aren’t just going after presidential candidates. Bloomberg found fake stories about 29 of the 36 Democrats running for governor and 20 of the 35 running for Senate.

    Then the bot farms come in. These videos are posted by accounts with only a handful of followers, but the videos explode as soon as they’re posted. Fifty thousand views in twenty minutes. Seventy-five thousand views in half an hour. And then nothing. The views fall off a cliff. Bots swarm the videos in an attempt to get them recommended to real people.

    The Russian government is doing everything it can to help Republicans win this election. And no wonder. With the GOP in power, Putin has friends in Washington. He has a way to sell his diesel, a ticket to the G7, and a friend in the White House. So if you needed another reason to come out and vote this November, there it is. Let’s stick it to the Russians.

    White House Ordered Ukraine Blackout
    On Wednesday we told you Ukraine’s military satellite link suddenly stopped working in the middle of a Russian attack. That limited their drones’ capabilities, and nobody knew why it happened.

    Two U.S. officials told Reuters that the order to limit service came from inside the White House. Pentagon leaders got a message that Ukraine’s Starshield service, that’s the military version of Starlink, needed to be throttled. And the Pentagon followed through.

    After the incident, Ukrainian officials reportedly called the White House, the State Department, and the Pentagon. They were told the same thing: this was a White House decision.

    The only answer out of the White House is that “no such request was ever made by the president.”

  32. AI Overview

    Today is day 635 of Donald Trump’s second presidential term (and day 2,096 total across both of his non-consecutive administrations).

    king dipshit said, before his regime was installed, that he was going to end Putin’s war against Ukraine 634 days ago

    slava Ukraine

  33. Wow! We won’t have Katie to kick around anymore! Our joy was short-lived.

    1 Zacharia = .379 Scaramucci

  34. Will Trump Bully the Senate Into Permanent Daylight Time? Scientists Warn It’ll Hurt Your Kids

    Clocks fall back November 1, and Donald Trump wants it to be the last time. The Sunshine Protection Act, which locks in permanent daylight saving time, passed the House this summer. On October 3, Trump posted what he said was Senator Tom Cotton’s personal cellphone number. Cotton still says no. A new analysis in the Canadian Medical Association Journal says permanent standard time is what our bodies need. Our clocks run on morning light, and Ralph Mistlberger explains, “Permanent daylight saving time moves that light an hour later.” K12 found 94 of the 100 largest school districts would send kids to school in the dark 117 mornings a year, versus 35 under standard time. Nixon tried this in 1974 and reversed it within a year. Science says one thing. Trump says another. Guess who Congress hears.

  35. see they’re so cunning to throw a woman under the bus because they get added benefit of women attacking other women

    justifiably

    which makes it even more cunning

    I’m sure they’re preparing fresh meat for us now

    And if you think I’m just being an asshole, I promise you this is how Steven Cheung thinks

  36. oh, how about Tallarico putting a name to the phenomenon I’ve pointed out many times, he calls it the “outrage economy“

    Go go, Tallarico

  37. I am heading out for a field test of my live stream equipment, could use some guinea pigs if you want to hop in for a moment and see if everything’s working. this is in preparation for tomorrow’s no Kings Day March.

    We are not on YouTube, this is just internal stuff
    Click this instead of the usual Diner link;

    https://streamyard.com/a32mkigvvi

  38. I think Z-Lady really got fired so abruptly because she took it upon herself and shit-canned Guilfold and she was not supposed to do that.
    She mis-calculated. Looks to me like she was trying to think outside the box.

    It startled me when I heard her say it because it seemed to be a new tactic altogether.

  39. One fake ABC clip claims James Talarico used Texas money to pay Onlyfans models.

    Texas has its own money? Why not secede, and take Paxton, Cruz and Abbott with ya.

    Last night Kimmel showed a pic of Dumbass in Marine One with Katie and Natalie and said he hired her so he could rub his kankles on a couple of leggy blonds with out being cursed out in Slovenian. Great line.

  40. Old Berman says Katie Z got fired cause she lied to Stump about the being a lawyer part and then he got surprised with it on tv.
    Mmmmm, could be.

  41. Wow! I just saw a Jim Jordan ad! Jim Jordan usually doesn’t have to run ads here in his district. (Yes, please pity me for having to live there.) He is usually safe, and he has NOT run any ads prior to today. The GOP is running scared that the anti-Trump sentiment will trickle down to all races!! Their own tea leaves must be telling them that Sherrod Brown and Amy Acton are going to win.

  42. please pity me for having to live there

    I would be looking around every corner making sure Jim Jordan wasn’t there

  43. Georgia MAGAts cheering for “The Gulf of America is now ours.”

    Look at your gas gauge, your refrigerator shelves, and your bills. Now, are you clapping like trained seals?

  44. Our ballots arrived; so I will be voting tomorrow. Outside of some local stuff, it won’t make a difference, but it is a 60 year habit.

  45. NO KINGS, NO STUDIO! 🎙️ Trail Mix Live hits the streets of DC Saturday for the Early Vote Rally.

    At one of 2,500 events nationwide? Join our live open mic and tell us what’s happening!

  46. Ha! Tesla has created its own insurance company.,

    By the way, those cars ~flying~ reminds me of an Astronomy professor who jumped off his desk and yelled, “I’m in orbit.” Aren’t we all?

  47. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/oct/15/texas-glitch-delay-voter-registrations

    Texas sued after glitch delays almost 600,000 voter registrations
    Voting registration organizations accuse Texas officials of failing to ensure eligible voters can register properly

    The League of Women Voters of Texas and Move Texas Civic Fund, a non-profit dedicated to increasing civic participation among young Texans, brought the legal challenge against state officials.

    “Defendants have breached and continue to breach the contract by failing to maintain the procedures that ensure simultaneous online voter registration with driver license renewal or change of address transactions,” the lawsuit said.

    “DPS had failed to send almost 600,000 voter registrations to the SOS to distribute to local county registrars, with some delayed voter registrations stretching back as far as October 2025,” it added. “Unexpecting counties must now scramble to process this deluge of last-minute voter registrations ahead of the November 2026 election.”

  48. https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2026/oct/16/russia-use-space-weapon-us-finnish-radar-satellite/

    Is Russia about to use a space weapon against a U.S.-Finnish radar satellite?

    A mysterious Russian satellite is closing in on a U.S.-Finnish radar satellite that supports the Ukrainian military, according to a new analysis, raising fears that Moscow may be poised to launch an attack in orbit and kick off an era of kinetic space warfare.
    A report from the leading Washington think tank Center for Strategic and International Studies details the trajectory of the Russian satellite Cosmos 2612, which will soon be close to a commercial synthetic aperture radar satellite operated by the Finnish-based company ICEYE.
    The ICEYE satellite is registered and licensed in the U.S., according to the CSIS paper, and is believed to provide high-resolution space intelligence to the Ukrainian military.

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