The Down Ballot Matrix

Now that the presidency looks like a done deal for the Democrats, what’s the effect on Senate and House races in the face of Trump’s demise?

Top 3 Reasons Democrats Benefit

  1. Moderate Republicans so disgusted by their party they just stay home.
  2. Trump groupies just vote for him, skip ballot entries for GOP candidates who reject him.
  3. Democrats so fired up by Hillary’s inevitability they flock to the polls.

Top 3 Reasons Republicans Benefit

  1. Predictions of Hillary’s inevitability drive Republicans to the polls.
  2. Moderate Republicans skip presidential ballot, vote for their congressional candidates.
  3. Marginal Democrats think they’re not needed, due to predictions of Hillary’s inevitability.

Anybody got 7 more for a complete Top Ten?

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Hillary Gets At Least A Draw, And The Win

Was it strategy not to go for a knockout of Donald Trump, or was it just not within HRC’s reach? Winning last night’s debate without destroying Trump would be the score. Last thing Clinton camp needed was for the GOP nominee to fail so badly that the scenario of the RNC replacing him take hold. Anyway, the result is that Trump shored up right-wing Hillary haters to stay in place, landing quite a few punches on her, which is best case for Clinton. Trump stands and all she needs to do now is run out the clock.

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Can Trump Still Be Dumped?

Back to the GOP party rules: “the Republican National Committee is hereby authorized and empowered to fill any and all vacancies which may occur by reason of death, declination, or otherwise of the Republican candidate for President of the United States or the Republican candidate for Vice President of the United States.”

Declination? Websters: “a turning aside or swerving.” Or perhaps the GOP persuades Trump to step aside.

Question: What about early votes if Trump is replaced? Don’t forget, we don’t actually vote for candidates, tho we think we do. We actually vote for electoral college delegates. It’s complicated, but this is doable.

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