The Real Witch Hunt — The Caravan Is Coming!

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Every time you see a Caravan, or people illegally coming, or attempting to come, into our Country illegally, think of and blame the Democrats for not giving us the votes to change our pathetic Immigration Laws! Remember the Midterms! So unfair to those who come in legally.

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Sadly, it looks like Mexico’s Police and Military are unable to stop the Caravan heading to the Southern Border of the United States. Criminals and unknown Middle Easterners are mixed in. I have alerted Border Patrol and Military that this is a National Emergy. Must change laws!

Hurricane Politics

Michael Hits Florida Republicans Hardest

Politico: “…one Republican familiar with the affected counties said the party is bracing for a net loss of 20,000 votes that [Gov. Rick] Scott or Republican gubernatorial candidate Ron DeSantis would otherwise receive.”

and

“Days after the storm hit, it became clear that its damage was largely limited to one media market, Panama City, and affected Bay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson, Liberty and Washington counties. The counties of Gadsden, Leon and Wakulla in the Tallahassee media market were also affected, but not as badly.

Together, the 11 affected counties have 465,000 of the state’s 13 million active registered voters. In 2016, they voted overall for President Trump over Hillary Clinton by 9 percentage points, or by 32,181 votes. Trump’s winning margin statewide: 112,911.”

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Fighter jets worth billions left in harm’s wayUSA Today

Blue Wave Quantified

And here’s where it will take a massive blue wave to make a difference — the Senate.

  • Democrats have 26 seats up, only 4 are in play
  • GOP has just 9 seats up, 4 are in play

It’s all about the turn out model … As polls in these races come out over the next few weeks how much will pollsters factor in turnout of traditional non-voters who now seem energized? Underestimation will skew results toward Republicans, which might be correct, if these voters don’t show up after all.